Heist vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
PAT
1 - 2
HEI
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DEI
2 - 0
HEI
15%
19%
66%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -4 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 0
VWH
66%
18%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
HEI
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HEI
2 - 2
BER
52%
22%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
DEN
2 - 2
GEE
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SER
3 - 0
DEN
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DEN
1 - 2
OOS
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
DEN
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DEN
2 - 2
OUD
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |