Heist vs Coxyde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DEI
4 - 4
HEI
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 1
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
KSV
3 - 2
HEI
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 2
LOM
16%
21%
63%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SER
5 - 2
HEI
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Coxyde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
EUP
0 - 0
COX
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
WSW
2 - 0
COX
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
COX
0 - 3
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
LIE
3 - 1
COX
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COX
2 - 4
KSV
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |