Heist vs Cercle Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 0
HEI
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HEI
3 - 0
COX
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
DEI
4 - 4
HEI
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 1
EXC
25%
24%
51%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
KSV
3 - 2
HEI
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cercle Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
CER
1 - 1
PAT
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GEE
3 - 3
CER
24%
25%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CER
4 - 0
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CER
2 - 2
LIE
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DES
0 - 3
CER
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |