Heist vs Brussels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 3
BOU
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIS
2 - 3
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
STN
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LOM
1 - 1
HEI
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 0
BRU
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 3
LOM
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DES
0 - 1
BRU
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BRU
2 - 0
EEA
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WSW
4 - 1
BRU
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |