Heist vs Brussels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WSW
0 - 0
HEI
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
HEI
4 - 3
STN
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAA
0 - 3
HEI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 0
OOS
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KSV
2 - 1
HEI
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Brussels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
WAA
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
OOS
0 - 0
BRU
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
TUB
2 - 0
BRU
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
KSV
3 - 3
BRU
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BRU
4 - 0
TIE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |