Heist vs Beerschot VA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BIN
1 - 4
HEI
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
2 - 3
LOM
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GEE
0 - 0
HEI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 1
KSV
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
WSB
5 - 1
HEI
52%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beerschot VA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
2 - 4
BEE
45%
23%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BEE
2 - 1
STN
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
LYR
1 - 3
BEE
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
WUU
0 - 4
BEE
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
TKM
5 - 1
BEE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |