Heimstetten vs Türkspor Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.8%
3.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
9º
2º
29
8º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 2
DAC
75%
14%
11%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 1
HEI
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 0
HEI
26%
23%
52%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 2
FCP
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KOT
1 - 1
HEI
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Türkspor Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 0
ISM
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VRG
3 - 2
TUR
60%
21%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 0
SON
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KIR
1 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 1
ERL
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |