Heimstetten vs Schalding-Heining analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
16º
13º
38
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 0
HEI
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 7
DEI
50%
22%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 1
MEM
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 3
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
TSV
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
SCH
25%
21%
53%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
TUR
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |