Heimstetten vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ROS
3 - 2
HEI
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
HEI
5 - 4
ING
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 3
HEI
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
MEM
3 - 0
HEI
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
VIK
1 - 1
HEI
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
NUR
2 - 0
BAY
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
AUG
0 - 3
NUR
32%
25%
44%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NUR
6 - 0
WUR
63%
20%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
NUR
1 - 3
BAY
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 0
NUR
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |