Heimstetten vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WEI
2 - 0
HEI
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 0
BAY
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
KEM
2 - 3
HEI
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
HEI
2 - 1
ANS
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
TSV
2 - 1
HEI
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NUR
0 - 1
TSG
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2007 |
UNT
1 - 1
NUR
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
NUR
2 - 2
MEM
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 4
NUR
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
NUR
2 - 0
EIN
53%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |