Heimstetten vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
15º
10º
22
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 17% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 3
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
186
2 - 2
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
ISM
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
HEI
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 0
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
RAI
0 - 2
MEM
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 1
KIR
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 0
MEM
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
TAM
0 - 1
MEM
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |