Heimstetten vs Ismaning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
15º
10º
16
8º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 84% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TSA
1 - 2
HEI
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
VFB
84%
11%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
TSV
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 3
HEI
20%
24%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 1
LAN
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 4
TAM
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KSC
70%
16%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
ISM
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ISM
3 - 0
TUR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAN
8 - 2
ISM
73%
16%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |