Heimstetten vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
AUG
2 - 3
HEI
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 0
BUC
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 0
EIC
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +4 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
MEM
2 - 1
HEI
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 4
VRG
49%
21%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
ILL
2 - 5
BHE
91%
6%
2%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
FCE
4 - 3
ILL
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
ILL
0 - 3
SCH
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
RAI
1 - 1
ILL
28%
22%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 4
ILL
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |