Heimstetten vs Eltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
WUR
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
186
1 - 2
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 0
RAI
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ILL
4 - 1
HEI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 0
HEI
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Eltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ISM
0 - 0
ELT
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ELT
5 - 2
BAY
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
186
3 - 0
ELT
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AUG
1 - 1
ELT
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ELT
1 - 3
WUR
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |