Heimstetten vs Buchbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 3
HEI
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HEI
3 - 3
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
ISM
1 - 0
HEI
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HEI
0 - 2
GRO
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 0
HEI
52%
23%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Buchbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BUC
1 - 0
ROS
45%
24%
32%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
UNT
3 - 0
BUC
62%
20%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 2
EIN
31%
23%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
ERB
5 - 0
BUC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BUC
2 - 0
RAI
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +3 |