Heimstetten vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
KEM
2 - 3
HEI
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
HEI
2 - 1
ANS
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
TSV
2 - 1
HEI
59%
21%
19%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 2
WUR
40%
25%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
HEI
4 - 2
BAD
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
TSG
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
UNT
4 - 3
BAY
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
BAY
0 - 0
MEM
56%
23%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 1
BAY
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BAY
8 - 3
WAC
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |