Heimstetten vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
67.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ISM
1 - 1
HEI
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
HEI
0 - 1
NUR
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WUR
3 - 1
HEI
72%
16%
11%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
HEI
2 - 0
TSV
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
FEU
0 - 1
HEI
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 2
OFC
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 0
FEU
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
MEM
0 - 2
BAY
17%
24%
60%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BAY
0 - 0
EIN
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
GRO
1 - 1
BAY
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |