Heimstetten vs Aubstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
3 - 1
RAI
79%
12%
9%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
4 - 0
HEI
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
4 - 0
VIK
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 0
HEI
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
HEI
2 - 3
BAY
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 1
AUG
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NUR
1 - 1
AUB
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 2
WAC
43%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 2
AUB
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 3
AUB
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |