Heider SV vs Weiche Flensburg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
6º
28
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
6 - 1
GWS
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 2
HEI
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 0
ECK
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
VFR
1 - 2
HEI
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
HSC
5 - 0
HEI
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Weiche Flensburg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 3
WEF
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
WEF
2 - 2
HUS
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
GWS
0 - 0
WEF
36%
22%
43%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
PRR
2 - 3
WEF
35%
22%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
WEF
1 - 1
LUB
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |