Heider SV vs VfR Neumunster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
12º
5º
36
8º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PRR
1 - 3
HEI
35%
21%
44%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 2
EIC
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 2
HEI
74%
15%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 3
HEI
39%
21%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 1
FLE
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Neumunster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 2
ECK
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
3 - 1
HOH
45%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
0 - 2
VFR
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 1
OLD
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 3
OTT
5%
13%
81%
|
18 | 54 | 36 | 0 |