Heider SV vs VFR Horst 1946 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HUL
2 - 2
HEI
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 1
ALT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KRO
0 - 3
HEI
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 2
COK
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ECK
0 - 2
HEI
18%
23%
60%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
VFR Horst 1946
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
HUS
0 - 1
VFR
33%
24%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 1
VFR
46%
24%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VFR
2 - 0
KRO
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
COK
1 - 3
VFR
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VFR
1 - 3
ECK
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |