Heider SV vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
67.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
12º
5º
62
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 1
HEI
43%
21%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 2
HEI
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 2
HEI
19%
18%
62%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
4 - 3
WEF
82%
12%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
FLE
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LUB
3 - 2
UNI
16%
17%
67%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WEF
1 - 5
UNI
6%
12%
82%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
ECK
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |