Heider SV vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
6º
66
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OLD
2 - 4
HEI
58%
19%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
1 - 0
BOR
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TOD
4 - 0
HEI
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HUS
2 - 3
HEI
25%
21%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 0
WEF
46%
23%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
5 - 1
HUS
66%
18%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GWS
0 - 6
UNI
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
8 - 0
DOR
60%
19%
21%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WEF
1 - 3
UNI
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 2
KIL
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |