Heider SV vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
ECK
2 - 1
HEI
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HEI
4 - 1
KRO
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
HUL
2 - 1
HEI
66%
19%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HEI
1 - 3
LUB
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 2
VFR
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
4 - 4
SCH
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
HEI
6 - 2
UNI
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 3
EIB
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
KLA
2 - 0
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 6
FLE
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |