Heider SV vs TSB Flensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-54%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
12º
5º
53
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WEF
0 - 4
HEI
25%
21%
55%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 0
DOR
62%
18%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
2 - 2
OLD
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 3
HEI
28%
20%
51%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ITK
2 - 2
HEI
68%
16%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 3
FLE
10%
15%
75%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
5 - 1
LUB
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FLE
4 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 0
VFR
91%
7%
2%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
FLE
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -2 |