Heider SV vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
29.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ITK
3 - 1
HEI
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 2
VFR
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SCH
3 - 4
HEI
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EUT
1 - 2
HEI
69%
17%
15%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 0
TSV
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LUB
2 - 2
NTS
15%
17%
68%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ITK
0 - 0
LUB
28%
20%
52%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LUB
2 - 3
BOR
69%
17%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 5
LUB
35%
21%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LUB
3 - 2
VFR
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |