Heider SV vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 2
VFR
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
WEI
0 - 0
HEI
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 1
HEI
35%
25%
41%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
HEI
1 - 1
HEI
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
EIB
2 - 2
HEI
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 1
LUB
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LUB
8 - 0
EIB
28%
25%
48%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
KLA
1 - 2
LUB
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LUB
2 - 3
FLE
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
EIC
2 - 0
LUB
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |