Heider SV vs Kilia Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
11º
2º
52
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
HEI
23%
19%
58%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 1
TRT
76%
13%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
HEI
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
7 - 0
LUB
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
HOH
79%
12%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kilia Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
3 - 6
KIL
27%
20%
53%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SVE
0 - 2
KIL
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
6 - 1
FLE
47%
21%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ECK
3 - 3
KIL
39%
22%
38%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
VFR
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |