Heider SV vs Itzehoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
KLA
0 - 4
HEI
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
VFR
0 - 0
HEI
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
HEI
0 - 1
WEI
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
EIC
3 - 1
HEI
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 1
UNI
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
ITZ
0 - 2
LUB
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
ECK
1 - 0
ITZ
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ALT
2 - 1
ITZ
76%
15%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
EIB
5 - 1
ITZ
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ITZ
1 - 3
KLA
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |