Heider SV vs Itzehoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 2
FLE
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 0
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HUL
2 - 2
HEI
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 1
ALT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KRO
0 - 3
HEI
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Itzehoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
KRO
0 - 0
ITZ
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
2 - 1
HUS
65%
20%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
4 - 2
NTS
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ITZ
1 - 2
VFR
18%
22%
59%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FLE
2 - 3
ITZ
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |