Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
HEI
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 1
UNI
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
VFR
3 - 1
HEI
51%
24%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 2
NTS
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EUT
2 - 2
HEI
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
HOL
14%
20%
66%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HOL
3 - 0
NTS
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 2
HOL
11%
18%
71%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
HOL
3 - 3
KRO
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 5
HOL
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |