Heider SV vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SYL
3 - 1
HEI
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 4
HEI
27%
23%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 0
PRE
50%
24%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 1
KRO
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LUB
2 - 1
HEI
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
EIC
0 - 0
HOL
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NTS
0 - 2
HOL
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
WEI
2 - 0
HOL
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 1
HEI
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KRO
5 - 1
HOL
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |