Heider SV vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TOD
1 - 3
HEI
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HEI
0 - 1
FLE
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
REH
1 - 2
HEI
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HEI
4 - 0
TUR
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VFR
2 - 1
HEI
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
HUL
2 - 1
UNI
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OLD
6 - 0
HUL
50%
21%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HUL
4 - 2
KIL
65%
17%
18%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 0
HUL
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
TOD
1 - 0
HUL
75%
15%
11%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |