Heider SV vs Henstedt-Ulzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 0
HEI
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 1
KRO
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
COK
0 - 3
HEI
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
HEI
7 - 0
ECK
71%
18%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
HUS
0 - 2
HEI
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Henstedt-Ulzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 3
VFR
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
FLE
2 - 1
HUL
44%
25%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 1
EIB
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HEI
0 - 4
HUL
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
HUL
4 - 1
KRO
52%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |