Heider SV vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
FLE
17%
21%
61%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 1
HEI
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
DOR
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 1
HEI
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
HEI
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TUR
3 - 1
HAG
24%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 4
HOL
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUB
0 - 1
HAG
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 1
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
HAG
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |