Heider SV vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 1
HEI
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
DOR
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 1
HEI
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
HEI
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
LUB
20%
22%
59%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
FLE
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FLE
3 - 0
ALT
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PRE
0 - 4
FLE
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FLE
0 - 1
EIC
33%
24%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLE
3 - 1
TUR
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |