Heider SV vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
KRO
4 - 0
HEI
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
EIB
1 - 4
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 2
VFR
10%
19%
71%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
HOL
7 - 3
HEI
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
WEI
5 - 0
HEI
69%
19%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FLE
3 - 0
HUS
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 2
KRO
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
EIB
1 - 2
FLE
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 3
SYL
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
EIB
2 - 1
FLE
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |