Heider SV vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 0
VFR
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HUL
2 - 2
HEI
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HEI
2 - 1
ALT
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
KRO
0 - 3
HEI
48%
23%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 2
COK
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
FLE
3 - 1
KIL
78%
14%
8%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ECK
2 - 2
FLE
24%
24%
51%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NTS
0 - 4
FLE
32%
25%
43%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
FLE
2 - 3
ITZ
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HUL
1 - 1
FLE
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |