Heider SV vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
11º
2º
7
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 72 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 65 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 57 |
4º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 42 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 38 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 23 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 12 |
16º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
EUT
1 - 2
HEI
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 3
KIL
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 2
HEI
23%
19%
58%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 1
TRT
76%
13%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
HEI
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 2
OLD
15%
16%
69%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SVE
5 - 1
DOR
53%
20%
28%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 4
FLE
13%
16%
70%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ECK
5 - 0
DOR
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 2
VFR
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |