Bundesliga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-2
Heidenheim vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 0
HEI
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ARB
3 - 0
HEI
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2020 |
HEI
2 - 1
HSV
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
SGF
0 - 0
HEI
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
HEI
4 - 1
SSV
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 0
HEI
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
6 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
M05
3 - 1
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 1
BYM
4%
9%
88%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 5
BRE
28%
23%
49%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |