Heidenheim vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
HEI
1 - 1
NOR
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
REU
2 - 1
HEI
51%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FRE
0 - 0
HEI
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
KSC
1 - 3
HEI
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SVS
6 - 0
HEI
32%
24%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
VFR
1 - 2
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
VFR
0 - 0
HOF
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
VFR
3 - 1
LUD
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
KSC
0 - 0
VFR
53%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
STU
2 - 0
VFR
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -3 |