Heidenheim vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
SGF
0 - 0
HEI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
3 - 0
SVS
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
STP
0 - 3
HEI
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 1
DAR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
WOL
4 - 1
HEI
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 0
F95
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
RTV
4 - 0
VFR
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
VFR
0 - 1
FSV
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EBT
2 - 1
VFR
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
VFR
2 - 0
HAN
18%
23%
60%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +3 |