Heidenheim vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
HEI
3 - 2
UNT
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WEH
0 - 1
HEI
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HEI
2 - 0
DAR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 4
HEI
16%
22%
63%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
HEI
3 - 1
VIK
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
GRE
1 - 1
ULM
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ULM
3 - 1
FRE
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
HES
3 - 0
ULM
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
ULM
3 - 0
186
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
EIN
1 - 0
ULM
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |