Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
10º
9º
11
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 86 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 75 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 72 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 71 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 59 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 55 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 49 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 41 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 38 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 29 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 84% |
|
Europa League
|
2.5% | 6.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
M05
0 - 2
HEI
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 3
SCF
35%
24%
42%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
BVB
4 - 2
HEI
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 0
AUG
54%
22%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
3 - 2
HÄC
58%
20%
22%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RBL
4 - 0
AUG
76%
16%
7%
|
98 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STP
0 - 0
RBL
8%
15%
77%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
RBL
29%
23%
48%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RBL
0 - 0
FCU
74%
18%
8%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
RBL
3 - 1
MEU
83%
13%
5%
|
98 | 46 | 52 | 0 |