Heidenheim vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+161%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
HEI
2 - 0
SGS
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 0
HEI
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 0
FRE
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
3 - 1
HEI
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
HEI
2 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
SGS
0 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
NOT
0 - 2
SCH
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 3
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
0 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 1
ULM
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |