Heidenheim vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
CRA
0 - 1
HEI
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HEI
1 - 0
FCE
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SGS
3 - 4
HEI
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
HEI
0 - 1
FRE
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NOR
3 - 2
HEI
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
NOT
3 - 0
VFR
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HOF
3 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 1
PFO
51%
23%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
BAH
0 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 4
STU
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |