Heidenheim vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 3
HEI
20%
22%
59%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
FRE
0 - 1
HEI
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
HEI
4 - 0
VFR
77%
14%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
LIN
1 - 2
HEI
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
HEI
3 - 2
ASV
85%
10%
4%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 1
FCE
54%
23%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
NOT
3 - 3
SVS
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
HOF
2 - 1
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
NOT
2 - 1
STU
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NOT
1 - 0
CRA
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |