Heidenheim vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
ULM
1 - 0
HEI
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
HEI
1 - 0
VFR
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 2
HEI
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 2
HEI
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
HEI
2 - 0
NOT
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 0
SCH
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SGS
0 - 1
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
FRE
2 - 2
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
WAL
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |