Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 5-3
Heidenheim vs Häcken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STP
0 - 2
HEI
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 2
HEI
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 4
HEI
9%
15%
75%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 1
ESP
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
2 - 1
ARI
64%
19%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 1
IFK
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 2
HEI
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 3
HÄC
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |