Heidenheim vs Lauda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
VFR
1 - 3
HEI
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
HEI
4 - 4
REU
53%
23%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
LUD
1 - 1
HEI
17%
21%
62%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
HEI
1 - 0
FRE
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HEI
3 - 3
KSC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lauda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FVL
3 - 0
LUD
44%
27%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
2 - 0
FVL
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
FVL
2 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
SVS
1 - 0
FVL
75%
18%
8%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FVL
1 - 2
HOF
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |